Major Slowdown Causes risk of deflation in China

With the major slowdown looming large,China, globally the 2nd largest economy, faced deflation risk as the producer prices continued to fall in July, touching the lowest level since 2009.
The producer price index (PPI), an economic tool to measure  costs for goods at the factory gate, fell 5.4% year on year in July, widening from the 4.8% drop seen a month earlier, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed on Sunday.
The July reading dipped to the lowest level since the end of 2009 and marked the 41th straight month of decline, state-run Xinhua news agency reported.
Specifically, prices of production materials fell 6.9%, while those of consumer goods edged down 0.3%.
For the first seven months, PPI averaged at a 4.7% drop year on year.
On a monthly basis, the index went down 0.7% in July.
NBS statistician Yu Qiumei attributed the PPI contraction mainly to dropping prices of industrial products and decreasing costs for oil and natural gas production.
"Domestic demand remained sluggish, and commodity prices were on the decline. China still faces grim deflation risk," Qu Hongbin, chief China economist at HSBC said as per news reports.
In a sign of weak demand, China's imports nosedived by 8.6% in July.
A sharp decline of 8.9% in exports also cast a shadow on this giant economy.
To make things worse, major commodity prices are lowering down consistently, and there are no immediate signs of quick recovery.
As Per agency reports,The World Bank predicted that energy prices will average 39% below 2014 levels this year, with metal prices down 16% and iron ore plummeting 43%.
Peking University economist Su Jian said weak commodity prices drive down the prices of finished products, which delays investment and postpone consumption.
Weak demand caused by shrinking business activity will in turn sink commodity prices.
"To avoid such a vicious circle, we need more expansionary policies," Su said as reported by News agency.
China's growth stood at seven per cent in the first half of the year with forecasts that it would go down below that.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) in its recent forecast said China's economy will slow down to 6.8% this year followed by 6.3% in 2016 and 6% for 2017. 



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News Source- DNA/PTI, Images are for representation purpose only

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